Israeli Legislative Election Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved Likud. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.4%; a week before, 30.5%. $17.0M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsMain ElectionGlobal ElectionsIsraelElections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Likud | WON |
| Yashar | LOST |
| Together | LOST |
| The Democrats | LOST |
| Otzma Yehudit | LOST |
| Shas | LOST |
| Party A | LOST |
| Party B | LOST |
| Party C | LOST |
| Party D | LOST |
| Party E | LOST |
| Party F | LOST |
| Party G | LOST |
| Party H | LOST |
| Party I | LOST |
| Party J | LOST |
| Party K | LOST |
| Party L | LOST |
| Party M | LOST |
| Party N | LOST |
| Party O | LOST |
| Party P | LOST |
| Party Q | LOST |
| Party R | LOST |
| Party S | LOST |
| Party T | LOST |
| Party U | LOST |
| Party V | LOST |
| Party W | LOST |
| Party X | LOST |
| Party Y | LOST |
| Party Z | LOST |
| Party AA | LOST |
| Party AB | LOST |
| Party AC | LOST |
| Party AD | LOST |
| Party AE | LOST |
| Party AF | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. Otherwise: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the optio
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Israeli Legislative Election Winner" resolve?
- It resolved Likud around October 28, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.4% one day before close, 30.5% one week before and 42.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $17.0M across 39 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.