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Live market data

FL-07 House Election Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Ryan Elijah (R) at 99.2%, ahead of Bale Dalton (D) at 0.7%. $149K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:35 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

99.2%
Ryan Elijah (R) · Trade →

24h move

+2.5
pts · 7d +26.7

Volume

$149K
24h $2K · liquidity $49K

Closes

November 4, 2026
0 days left

PoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse Elections

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Ryan Elijah (R)99.2% +2.5+26.7$71K1.2¢
Bale Dalton (D)0.7% -2.1-27.3$78K1.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:35 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-2906-1811-06
Ryan Elijah (R)Bale Dalton (D)

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Ryan Elijah (R) at 99% risks 99¢ to win 1¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "FL-07 House Election Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Ryan Elijah (R) is the favorite at 99.2%, followed by Bale Dalton (D) at 0.7%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$149K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $49K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.