Alaska Governor Election Winner : live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 99.8%, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 0.3%. $1.9M traded across 22 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Alaska MidtermGovernor ElectionsRewards 50, 4.5, 20MidtermsElections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 99.8% | -0.2 |
| Bernadette Wilson | 0.3% | +0.2 |
| Click Bishop | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| David Bronson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Adam Crum | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Edna DeVries | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Matt Heilala | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Shelley Hughes | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| James Parkin | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Treg Taylor | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Lisa Murkowski | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tom Begich | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Mary Peltola | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Hank Kroll | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bruce Walden | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Matt Claman | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Lesil McGuire | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Gregg Brelsford | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Jessica Faircloth | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bill Walker | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Alaska Governor Election Winner "?
- As of November 6, 2026, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the favorite at 99.8%, followed by Bernadette Wilson at 0.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.9M in total and $34K in the last 24 hours, with about $757K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.