ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved February 8. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 72.0%; a week before, –. $332K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| February 8 | WON |
| February 6 | LOST |
| February 7 | LOST |
| February 5 | LOST |
| February 4 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" resolve?
- It resolved February 8 around February 6, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 72.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $332K across 5 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.