Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is ↑ 8% at 31.0%, ahead of ↓ 4% at 27.0%. $10K traded across 3 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesDerivativesUS Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| ↑ 8% | 31.0% | +9.5 |
| ↓ 4% | 27.0% | -29.5 |
| ↑ 10% | 8.0% | -0.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or is equal to or below the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Pete Buttigieg's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or above the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Pete Buttigieg (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Pete Buttigieg in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing Pete Buttigieg from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for Pete Buttigieg between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, a "↑" market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No", and a "↓" market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg is not the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correcti
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 8% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Pete Buttigieg's hourly odds value is below 8% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Pete Buttigieg (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Pete Buttigieg
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, ↑ 8% is the favorite at 31.0%, followed by ↓ 4% at 27.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $10K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $37K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.