Berlin State Election Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved Linke. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 65.5%; a week before, 67.5%. $4.5M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
World ElectionsWorldGerman ElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Linke | WON |
| AfD | LOST |
| CDU | LOST |
| SPD | LOST |
| Grüne | LOST |
| BSW | LOST |
| FDP | LOST |
| FW | LOST |
| Party A | OPEN |
| Party B | OPEN |
| Party C | OPEN |
| Party D | OPEN |
| Party E | OPEN |
| Party F | OPEN |
| Party G | OPEN |
| Party H | OPEN |
| Party I | OPEN |
| Party J | OPEN |
| Party K | OPEN |
| Party L | OPEN |
| Party M | OPEN |
| Party N | OPEN |
| Party O | OPEN |
| Other | OPEN |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Berlin State Election Winner" resolve?
- It resolved Linke around September 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 65.5% one day before close, 67.5% one week before and 43.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $4.5M across 24 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.