Who is favored in "Next Prime Minister of Spain?"?

As of November 6, 2026, Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the favorite at 90.5%, followed by Person H at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 30, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$2.8M in total and $56K in the last 24 hours, with about $2.3M of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Live market data

Next Prime Minister of Spain?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Next Prime Minister of Spain? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 90.5%, ahead of Person H at 50.0%. $2.8M traded across 58 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

90.5%

Alberto Núñez Feijóo · Trade →

24h move

+3.0

pts · 7d +9.0

Volume

$2.8M

24h $56K · liquidity $2.3M

Closes

November 30, 2026

24 days left

Spain Politics Elections parliament Main Election

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Alberto Núñez Feijóo	90.5%	+3.0	+9.0	$604K	1.0¢
Person H	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person I	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person J	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person K	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person L	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person M	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person N	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person O	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person P	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Q	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person R	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person S	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person T	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person U	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person V	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person W	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person X	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Y	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person Z	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AA	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AB	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AC	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AD	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AE	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AF	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AG	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AH	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AI	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AJ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AK	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AL	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AM	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AN	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AO	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AP	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AQ	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Person AR	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Pedro Sánchez	8.8%	-2.9	-0.3	$889K	0.1¢
Santiago Abascal	1.6%	+0.1	-0.3	$339K	0.1¢
Isabel Díaz Ayuso	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$282K	0.1¢
Carlos Cuerpo	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$238K	0.1¢
María Jesús Montero	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$35K	0.1¢
Yolanda Díaz	0.1%	0.0	-0.1	$176K	0.1¢
Ernest Urtasun	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$16K	0.1¢
Aitor Esteban	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$15K	0.1¢
Miguel Tellado	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$34K	0.1¢
Ester Muñoz	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$17K	0.1¢
Pepa Millán	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$16K	0.1¢
Cuca Gamarra	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$17K	0.1¢
Borja Sémper	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$17K	0.1¢
Carles Puigdemont	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$20K	0.1¢
Óscar Puente	0.1%	0.0	0.0	$76K	0.1¢
Juanma Moreno	0.1%	0.0	-0.4	$0	0.1¢
Félix Bolaños	0.1%	0.0	-0.4	$0	0.1¢
Emiliano García-Page	0.1%	0.0	-0.4	$1K	0.1¢
Salvador Illa	0.1%	0.0	-0.4	$0	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 91% risks 91¢ to win 9¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next Prime Minister of Spain?"?: As of November 6, 2026, Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the favorite at 90.5%, followed by Person H at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 30, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $2.8M in total and $56K in the last 24 hours, with about $2.3M of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.