Who is favored in "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 55-64 is the favorite at 45.5%, followed by Under 45 at 35.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on August 31, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Live market data

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 55-64 at 45.5%, ahead of Under 45 at 35.5%. $4K traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

45.5%

55-64 · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d -0.5

Volume

$4K

24h $0 · liquidity $11K

Closes

August 31, 2028

664 days left

Politics Elections US Election democratic party 2028 presidential election

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
55-64	45.5%	0.0	-0.5	$463	19.0¢
Under 45	35.5%	-1.5	-2.5	$2K	13.0¢
45-54	29.0%	+5.0	+7.0	$989	10.0¢
65-74	24.6%	+11.9	+21.6	$283	47.6¢
85+	6.9%	+0.2	-9.5	$284	11.9¢
75-84	4.6%	0.0	+0.1	$202	6.6¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

55-64Under 4545-5465-74

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 55-64 at 46% risks 46¢ to win 54¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 55-64 is the favorite at 45.5%, followed by Under 45 at 35.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on August 31, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.