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Home / Markets / Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31
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Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 10.0% (0.0 pts in 24h). $3K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

10.0%
No 90.0% · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -2.0

Volume

$3K
24h $0 · liquidity $410

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

CultureArtmasterworks

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes10.0% 0.0-2.0$3K14.0¢
No90.0% 0.0+2.0$3K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%05-2708-1611-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork. Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 10% risks 10¢ to win 90¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 10.0% and No at 90.0%, on $3K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$3K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $410 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.