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Home / Markets / Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before Marc
Resolved market scorecard

Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.2%; a week before, 91.0%. $7K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved March 1, 2025

Price 1 day before

99.2%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

91.0%
30 days before: 82.5%

Volume

$7K
1 outcome

Politics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$7K
NoWON$7K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2902-1303-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former United States Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg announces that he is running for Senator from Michigan in the 2026 midterm election, between January 27, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Pete Buttigieg will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Pete Buttigieg (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?" resolve?
It resolved No around February 28, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.2% one day before close, 91.0% one week before and 82.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$7K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.