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Resolved market scorecard

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?: result and scorecard

Resolved Todd Blanche. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 23.5%; a week before, 45.5%. $39K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Todd Blanche
resolved June 4, 2026

Price 1 day before

23.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

45.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$39K
43 outcomes

PoliticsTrumpTrump CabinetZeldinAG

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Todd BlancheWON$8K
Matt GaetzLOST$7K
Ken PaxtonLOST$5K
Jeanine PirroLOST$4K
Jay ClaytonLOST$4K
Jeff ClarkLOST$3K
Ted CruzLOST$3K
No Announcement by December 31LOST$1K
Lee ZeldinLOST$1K
Eric SchmittLOST$272
Alina HabbaLOST$272
Mike LeeLOST$262
Sidney PowellLOST$262
Ron DeSantisLOST$242
Harmeet DhillonLOST$235
Andrew BaileyLOST$235
Person ALOST$0
Person BLOST$0
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0
Person RLOST$0
Person SLOST$0
Person TLOST$0
Person ULOST$0
Person VLOST$0
Person WLOST$0
Person XLOST$0
Person YLOST$0
Person ZLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-1205-2306-04
Todd BlancheMatt GaetzKen PaxtonJeanine Pirro
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 24% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?" resolve?
It resolved Todd Blanche around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 23.5% one day before close, 45.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$39K across 43 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.