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Resolved market scorecard

Who will attend the Oscars?: result and scorecard

Resolved Timothée Chalamet. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 98.8%. $17K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Timothée Chalamet
resolved March 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.7%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.8%
30 days before: 97.4%

Volume

$17K
14 outcomes

CultureCelebritiesMusicOscarsMovies

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Timothée ChalametWON$0
ZendayaWON$0
Michael B. JordanWON$0
Emma StoneWON$0
Nicole KidmanWON$0
Leonardo DiCaprioWON$0
Kylie JennerWON$0
Hudson WilliamsWON$0
Margot RobbieLOST$17K
Ryan GoslingLOST$0
Saoirse RonanLOST$0
Taylor SwiftLOST$0
Connor StorrieLOST$0
Kevin HartLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%02-1102-2703-16
Timothée ChalametZendayaMichael B. JordanEmma Stone
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 98th Academy Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the Academy Awards is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will attend the Oscars?" resolve?
It resolved Timothée Chalamet around March 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 98.8% one week before and 97.4% one month before.
How much was traded?
$17K across 14 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.