Which college football games will be cancelled or postponed on Nov 14?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Texas @ LSU at 3.1%, ahead of Michigan @ Oregon at 2.5%. $7K traded across 6 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
FAANCAASportsGround Stopcollege football
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Texas @ LSU | 3.1% | -46.9 |
| Michigan @ Oregon | 2.5% | -49.5 |
| USC @ Indiana | 2.2% | -47.8 |
| Alabama @ Vanderbilt | 2.0% | -47.5 |
| Missouri @ Georgia | 0.9% | -49.1 |
| Utah @ Arizona | 0.5% | -49.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 10:31 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The FAA issued a nationwide ground stop for flights departing U.S. airports on November 13, 2026, disrupting travel for multiple college football programs (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/13/us/faa-nationwide-ground-stop). Each market in this event asks whether one college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 is cancelled or postponed. A market will resolve "Yes" if that game's opening kickoff does not occur before 12:00 AM on November 15, 2026 in the local time zone of the venue at which the game was originally scheduled to be played (that game's "deadline"), and "No" otherwise. Kickoff timing is the sole test. A game that is cancelled, called off, forfeited, or abandoned before kickoff resolves "Yes", as does a game postponed or rescheduled to any time at or after its deadline, for any reason. A game whose opening kickoff occurs before its deadline resolves "No", even if it is subsequently delayed, suspended, shortened, or abandoned before completion. Relocation alone does not resolve a market "Yes". If a game is moved to a different venue, its deadline becomes 12:00 AM on November 15, 2026 in the local time zone of the venue where the game is actually played. All markets in this event will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on November 15, 2026. If a game's status is not confirmed by that time, that market will resolve once confirmation is available. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the NCAA, the relevant conference, and the participating schools; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The FAA issued a nationwide ground stop for flights departing U.S. airports on November 13, 2026, disrupting travel for multiple college football programs (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/13/us/faa-nationwide-ground-stop). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the opening kickoff of the college football game between the Texas Longhorns and the LSU Tigers, scheduled for 6:30 PM CST on November 14, 2026 at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, does not occur before 12:00 AM on November 15, 2026 Central Time (the "deadline"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Kickoff timing is the sole test. This market will resolve "Yes" if the game is cancelled, called off, forfeited, or abandoned before kickoff, or is postponed or rescheduled to any time at or after the deadline, for any reason, including travel disruption, weather, facility issues, or public health. Relocation alone will not resolve this market "Yes". If the game is moved to a different venue, the deadline becomes 12:00 AM on November 15, 2026 in the local time zone of the venue where the game is actually played, and this market will resolve "Yes" only if
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which college football games will be cancelled or postponed on Nov 14?"?
- As of November 15, 2026, Texas @ LSU is the favorite at 3.1%, followed by Michigan @ Oregon at 2.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 15, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7K in total and $7K in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.