Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.3%; a week before, 99.8%. $40K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
PoliticsTikTokTrump PresidencybuyMAGA
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires ownership of any of TikTok's U.S. operations or stock by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of an acquisition will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if/when the assets actually come under management of the fund. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?" resolve?
- It resolved No around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.3% one day before close, 99.8% one week before and 97.7% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $40K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.