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Home / Markets / Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Resolved market scorecard

Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.5%; a week before, 94.3%. $1.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved December 11, 2025

Price 1 day before

93.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

94.3%
30 days before: 92.8%

Volume

$1.5M
1 outcome

CulturepotymagazineTime POTY

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$1.5M
NoWON$1.5M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1609-2812-11
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 94% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the individual named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event that multiple individuals are named TIME's 2025 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of them is a woman. If for any reason the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Time's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?" resolve?
It resolved No around January 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.5% one day before close, 94.3% one week before and 92.8% one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.5M across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.