Resolved market scorecard
Time 2024 Person of the Year: result and scorecard
Resolved Donald Trump. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 78.5%; a week before, –. $1.7M traded in total.
Result
Donald Trump
resolved December 12, 2024
Price 1 day before
78.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$1.7M
11 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Donald Trump | WON |
| AI | LOST |
| Elon Musk | LOST |
| Joe Biden | LOST |
| Kamala Harris | LOST |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | LOST |
| Joe Rogan | LOST |
| Person/Thing C | LOST |
| Person/Thing D | LOST |
| Person/Thing E | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Donald TrumpAIElon Musk Joe Biden
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 79% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on who will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year in 2024.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Time 2024 Person of the Year" resolve?
- It resolved Donald Trump around December 31, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 78.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.7M across 11 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.