Resolved market scorecard
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?: result and scorecard
Resolved July 3. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, –. $370K traded in total.
Result
July 3
resolved July 4, 2026
Price 1 day before
98.0%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$370K
7 outcomes
CultureTaylor Swifttravis kelce
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| July 3 | WON |
| August 31 | WON |
| July 4 | WON |
| June 30 | LOST |
| October 31 | LOST |
| December 31 | LOST |
| July 2 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
July 3August 31July 4June 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage takes place by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?" resolve?
- It resolved July 3 around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $370K across 7 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.