What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 25.5% one day before close, 24.5% one week before and 36.0% one month before.

Home / Markets / Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?

Resolved market scorecard

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?: result and scorecard

Name: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 25.5%; a week before, 24.5%. $385K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes

resolved August 26, 2025

Price 1 day before

25.5%

Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

24.5%

30 days before: 36.0%

Volume

$385K

1 outcome

Culture Music Taylor Swift 2025 Predictions

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	WON	$385K
No	LOST	$385K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 26% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Swift and Kelce have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Taylor Swift and/or Travis Kelce or one of their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?" resolve?: It resolved Yes around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 25.5% one day before close, 24.5% one week before and 36.0% one month before.
How much was traded?: $385K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.