SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 71.0%; a week before, –. $105K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TechClimate & ScienceEconomyBusinessScience
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by SpaceX or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around June 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 71.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $105K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.