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Home / Markets / Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
Resolved market scorecard

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?: result and scorecard

Resolved 7%+. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 36.9%; a week before, 13.8%. $334K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:09 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

7%+
resolved September 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

36.9%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

13.8%
30 days before: –

Volume

$334K
4 outcomes

WorldGermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-Anhalt

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
7%+WON$124K
3-5%LOST$95K
5-7%LOST$88K
<3%LOST$27K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-2108-2909-07
7%+3-5%5-7%<3%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 37% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?" resolve?
It resolved 7%+ around September 6, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 36.9% one day before close, 13.8% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$334K across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.