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Home / Markets / Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved June 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 12.5%; a week before, 14.5%. $481K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

June 30
resolved June 7, 2026

Price 1 day before

12.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

14.5%
30 days before: 21.0%

Volume

$481K
3 outcomes

PoliticszelenskyputinRussiaUkraine

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
June 30WON$239K
December 31WON$125K
May 31LOST$117K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0505-2106-07
June 30December 31May 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 13% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?" resolve?
It resolved June 30 around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 12.5% one day before close, 14.5% one week before and 21.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$481K across 3 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.