Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved AfD. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 47.5%; a week before, 82.5%. $2.4M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
WorldElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsPolitics
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| AfD | WON |
| SPD | LOST |
| FW | LOST |
| FDP | LOST |
| Grüne | LOST |
| CDU | LOST |
| Linke | LOST |
| BSW | LOST |
| Party A | OPEN |
| Party B | OPEN |
| Party C | OPEN |
| Party D | OPEN |
| Party E | OPEN |
| Party F | OPEN |
| Party G | OPEN |
| Party H | OPEN |
| Party I | OPEN |
| Party J | OPEN |
| Party K | OPEN |
| Party L | OPEN |
| Party M | OPEN |
| Party N | OPEN |
| Party O | OPEN |
| Other | OPEN |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner" resolve?
- It resolved AfD around September 20, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 47.5% one day before close, 82.5% one week before and 87.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.4M across 24 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.