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Home / Markets / Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
Resolved market scorecard

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?: result and scorecard

This market has closed. $83K traded in total. Final resolution details are below.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Pending
resolved October 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$83K
2 outcomes

WorldBrazilPoliticsElectionsDerivatives

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
October 15LOST$63K
September 30LOST$19K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%09-2510-0510-16
October 15September 30
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

Resolution data is not final yet. Check back after Polymarket settles the market.

Resolution rules

Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or Flávio Bolsonaro in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing before 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the outcome

Frequently asked questions

How did "Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?" resolve?
The market has closed and final resolution is pending or not reported by the API.
What did the market predict?
Price history is shown in the chart above.
How much was traded?
$83K across 2 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.