Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?: result and scorecard
This market has closed. $83K traded in total. Final resolution details are below.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
WorldBrazilPoliticsElectionsDerivatives
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| October 15 | LOST |
| September 30 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or Flávio Bolsonaro in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing before 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the outcome
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?" resolve?
- The market has closed and final resolution is pending or not reported by the API.
- What did the market predict?
- Price history is shown in the chart above.
- How much was traded?
- $83K across 2 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.