What are the odds that Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 5.5% and No at 94.5%, on $23K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$23K in total and $41 in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Live market data

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 5.5% (-0.5 pts in 24h). $23K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

5.5%

No 94.5% · Trade →

24h move

-0.5

pts · 7d -0.3

Volume

$23K

24h $41 · liquidity $25K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics World South Korea

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	5.5%	-0.5	-0.3	$23K	4.7¢
No	94.5%	+0.5	+0.3	$23K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 6% risks 6¢ to win 94¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 5.5% and No at 94.5%, on $23K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $23K in total and $41 in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.