Who is favored in "Khamenei # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?"?

As of November 6, 2026, 5-9 is the favorite at 99.3%, followed by 10-14 at 0.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$22K in total and $7K in the last 24 hours, with about $20K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Khamenei # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?

Live market data

Khamenei # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Khamenei # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is 5-9 at 99.3%, ahead of 10-14 at 0.5%. $22K traded across 12 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:09 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

99.3%

5-9 · Trade →

24h move

+50.0

pts · 7d +77.1

Volume

$22K

24h $7K · liquidity $20K

Closes

November 6, 2026

1 days left

Politics Tweet Markets Recurring

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
5-9	99.3%	+50.0	+77.1	$2K	0.5¢
10-14	0.5%	-0.8	-20.6	$1K	0.1¢
20-24	0.3%	+0.3	-20.8	$3K	0.4¢
25-29	0.3%	-0.2	-2.4	$3K	0.3¢
15-19	0.1%	-0.1	-20.9	$2K	0.1¢
30-34	0.1%	0.0	-2.2	$3K	0.1¢
35-39	0.1%	0.0	-2.2	$393	0.1¢
40-44	0.1%	0.0	-1.1	$459	0.1¢
45-49	0.1%	0.0	-1.1	$585	0.1¢
50-54	0.1%	0.0	-0.5	$596	0.1¢
55-59	0.1%	0.0	-1.1	$867	0.1¢
60+	0.1%	0.0	-1.1	$542	0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:09 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

5-910-1420-2425-29

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 30, 12:00 PM ET and November 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 5-9 at 99% risks 99¢ to win 1¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Khamenei # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?"?: As of November 6, 2026, 5-9 is the favorite at 99.3%, followed by 10-14 at 0.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 6, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $22K in total and $7K in the last 24 hours, with about $20K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.