Who is favored in "Kash Patel out by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 17.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$1.8M in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Kash Patel out by...?

Live market data

Kash Patel out by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Kash Patel out by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31 at 17.5%. $1.8M traded across 1 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

17.5%

December 31 · Trade →

24h move

-3.0

pts · 7d -3.0

Volume

$1.8M

24h $5K · liquidity $14K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Politics Trump Trump Cabinet Cabinet Shakeup

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31	17.5%	-3.0	-3.0	$463K	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31 at 18% risks 18¢ to win 83¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Kash Patel out by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31 is the favorite at 17.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $1.8M in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $14K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.