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Home / Markets / JB Pritzker arrested by December 31?
Resolved market scorecard

JB Pritzker arrested by December 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.0%; a week before, 98.9%. $7K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.9%
30 days before: 98.0%

Volume

$7K
1 outcome

PoliticsTrump

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$7K
NoWON$7K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0911-2001-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

On October 8, 2025, Donald Trump called for Governor J.B. Pritzker to be arrested. You can read more about that here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ar-AA1O5i3t This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pritzker is arrested or detained by law enforcement between October 8, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "JB Pritzker arrested by December 31?" resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.0% one day before close, 98.9% one week before and 98.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$7K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.