Israeli Knesset election annulled?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 3.1% (-0.1 pts in 24h). $149K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
WorldIsraelPoliticsElectionsIsrael Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.1% | -0.1 |
| No | 96.9% | +0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the October 27 Israeli Knesset election are annulled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The results of this election will be considered annulled if they are formally declared invalid by the Israel Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, or another official body of the government of Israel with the legal jurisdiction to do so. If an official body of the government of Israel with legal jurisdiction to rule on this matter has formally accepted a case seeking annulment of this election and no ruling has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) the public announcement of a ruling or (ii) June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the first qualifying ruling issued that annuls this election. Subsequent appeals or challenges will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the government of Israel and a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Israeli Knesset election annulled?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 3.1% and No at 96.9%, on $149K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $149K in total and $9K in the last 24 hours, with about $68K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.