Resolved market scorecard
How many SpaceX launches in February?: result and scorecard
Resolved 11 or more. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.9%; a week before, 93.5%. $231K traded in total.
Result
11 or more
resolved February 25, 2026
Price 1 day before
97.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
93.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$231K
7 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| 11 or more | WON |
| 10 | LOST |
| ≤5 | LOST |
| 6 | LOST |
| 8 | LOST |
| 7 | LOST |
| 9 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
11 or more10≤56
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between February 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "How many SpaceX launches in February?" resolve?
- It resolved 11 or more around February 28, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.9% one day before close, 93.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $231K across 7 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.