Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Goldman Sachs at 90.5%, ahead of JPMorgan at 0.6%. $123K traded across 9 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
FinanceIPOAnthropic IPOAnthropicIPOs
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 90.5% | -3.1 |
| JPMorgan | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Morgan Stanley | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Bank of America | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Citigroup | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Barclays | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| UBS | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Deutsche Bank | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Wells Fargo | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Goldman Sachs is the favorite at 90.5%, followed by JPMorgan at 0.6%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $123K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $44K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.