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Home / Markets / GTA VI released before June 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

GTA VI released before June 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.8%. $15.2M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved June 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.8%
30 days before: 99.3%

Volume

$15.2M
1 outcome

CultureGTA VIBreaking News

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$15.2M
NoWON$15.2M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0311-1606-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Frequently asked questions

How did "GTA VI released before June 2026?" resolve?
It resolved No around May 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.8% one week before and 99.3% one month before.
How much was traded?
$15.2M across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.