Resolved market scorecard
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic Presidential Nominee?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.3%; a week before, 98.7%. $188K traded in total.
Result
No
resolved August 6, 2024
Price 1 day before
99.3%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
98.7%
30 days before: 91.8%
Volume
$188K
1 outcome
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Gretchen Whitmer Democratic Presidential Nominee?" resolve?
- It resolved No around August 29, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.3% one day before close, 98.7% one week before and 91.8% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $188K across 1 outcome.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.