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Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Top 5: result and scorecard

Resolved Israel. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 69.5%; a week before, 51.0%. $1.5M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Israel
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

69.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

51.0%
30 days before: 58.5%

Volume

$1.5M
35 outcomes

CultureMusicAwardsEurovision

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
IsraelWON$179K
BulgariaWON$124K
RomaniaWON$103K
AustraliaWON$91K
ItalyWON$74K
FinlandLOST$229K
GreeceLOST$136K
DenmarkLOST$130K
UkraineLOST$52K
FranceLOST$49K
CyprusLOST$49K
MoldovaLOST$45K
SwedenLOST$34K
AlbaniaLOST$33K
SerbiaLOST$30K
AzerbaijanLOST$30K
GermanyLOST$27K
CroatiaLOST$23K
MaltaLOST$18K
PolandLOST$18K
BelgiumLOST$15K
NorwayLOST$11K
United KingdomLOST$9K
LithuaniaLOST$6K
CzechiaLOST$6K
SwitzerlandLOST$5K
ArmeniaLOST$5K
AustriaLOST$5K
EstoniaLOST$3K
LuxembourgLOST$3K
LatviaLOST$2K
PortugalLOST$2K
GeorgiaLOST$1K
MontenegroLOST$785
San MarinoLOST$592

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1004-1305-17
IsraelBulgariaRomaniaAustralia
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 70% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" resolve?
It resolved Israel around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 69.5% one day before close, 51.0% one week before and 58.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.5M across 35 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.