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Home / Markets / Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner
Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner: result and scorecard

Resolved Bulgaria. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 2.2%; a week before, 0.1%. $4.3M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Bulgaria
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

2.2%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

0.1%
30 days before: 0.7%

Volume

$4.3M
50 outcomes

CultureEurovisionMusic

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
BulgariaWON$247K
San MarinoLOST$573K
CzechiaLOST$228K
AustraliaLOST$194K
MaltaLOST$191K
SwedenLOST$156K
IsraelLOST$146K
FinlandLOST$141K
ItalyLOST$134K
GreeceLOST$134K
SerbiaLOST$133K
PolandLOST$125K
AustriaLOST$120K
FranceLOST$118K
LithuaniaLOST$115K
GermanyLOST$112K
MoldovaLOST$111K
CroatiaLOST$109K
NorwayLOST$107K
SwitzerlandLOST$105K
DenmarkLOST$95K
BelgiumLOST$90K
RomaniaLOST$89K
AlbaniaLOST$87K
CyprusLOST$84K
UkraineLOST$80K
EstoniaLOST$72K
United KingdomLOST$69K
LatviaLOST$69K
AzerbaijanLOST$63K
ArmeniaLOST$59K
LuxembourgLOST$51K
GeorgiaLOST$49K
MontenegroLOST$48K
PortugalLOST$43K
Country BLOST$0
Country CLOST$0
Country DLOST$0
Country ELOST$0
Country FLOST$0
Country GLOST$0
Country HLOST$0
Country ILOST$0
Country JLOST$0
Country KLOST$0
Country LLOST$0
Country MLOST$0
Country NLOST$0
Country OLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1004-1305-17
BulgariaSan MarinoCzechiaAustralia
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 2% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" resolve?
It resolved Bulgaria around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 2.2% one day before close, 0.1% one week before and 0.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$4.3M across 50 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.