Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 200+ at 32.5%, ahead of 180-199 at 14.0%. $13K traded across 11 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticsTrumpTweet MarketsRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 32.5% | -15.5 |
| 180-199 | 14.0% | +2.5 |
| 140-159 | 13.5% | +4.0 |
| 160-179 | 12.5% | -4.0 |
| 120-139 | 8.5% | -2.4 |
| 100-119 | 6.0% | +0.7 |
| 80-99 | 5.1% | +4.0 |
| 60-79 | 1.4% | +0.1 |
| 40-59 | 0.8% | +0.1 |
| 20-39 | 0.7% | +0.1 |
| <20 | 0.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 6, 12:00 PM ET and November 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 200+ is the favorite at 32.5%, followed by 180-199 at 14.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 13, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $13K in total and $4K in the last 24 hours, with about $21K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.