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Home / Markets / Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.6%; a week before, 91.3%. $6K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.6%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

91.3%
30 days before: 83.8%

Volume

$6K
1 outcome

PoliticsFlorida

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$6K
NoWON$6K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-0108-0101-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Casey DeSantis announces that she is running for Governor of Florida in the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial Election, between February 28 ET, and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Casey DeSantis will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. If Casey DeSantis definitively states that she will not run for governor, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Casey DeSantis (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?" resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.6% one day before close, 91.3% one week before and 83.8% one month before.
How much was traded?
$6K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.