Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais: result and scorecard
Resolved Lula. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 2.9%; a week before, 6.9%. $75K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
BrazilPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Lula | WON |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Candidate A | LOST |
| Candidate B | LOST |
| Candidate C | LOST |
| Candidate D | LOST |
| Candidate E | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais" resolve?
- It resolved Lula around October 26, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 2.9% one day before close, 6.9% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $75K across 8 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
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