Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is <-0.3% at 45.8%, ahead of -0.3% to -0.1% at 37.0%. $47K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| <-0.3% | 45.8% | +10.5 |
| -0.3% to -0.1% | 37.0% | -4.0 |
| 0.0% to 0.2% | 12.5% | -10.0 |
| 0.3% to 0.5% | 3.5% | +0.8 |
| 0.9% to 1.1% | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| 0.6% to 0.8% | 0.3% | -2.1 |
| ≥1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, <-0.3% is the favorite at 45.8%, followed by -0.3% to -0.1% at 37.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 2, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $47K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.