What are the odds that Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 23.5% and No at 76.5%, on $194K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$194K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $34K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

Live market data

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 23.5% (-7.0 pts in 24h). $194K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

23.5%

No 76.5% · Trade →

24h move

-7.0

pts · 7d -19.0

Volume

$194K

24h $6K · liquidity $34K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Trump World Brazil Politics Bolsonaro

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	23.5%	-7.0	-19.0	$194K	1.0¢
No	76.5%	+7.0	+19.0	$194K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 24% risks 24¢ to win 77¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 23.5% and No at 76.5%, on $194K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $194K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $34K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Fed Decision in December?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trump out as President before 2027?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.