Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved Flavio Bolsonaro. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 38.5%; a week before, 25.5%. $6.1M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
BrazilPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Flavio Bolsonaro | WON |
| Lula | LOST |
| Hertz Dias | LOST |
| Veterinário Wilson Grassi | LOST |
| Samara | LOST |
| Edmilson Costa | LOST |
| Renan Santos | LOST |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | LOST |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | LOST |
| Ronaldo Caiado | LOST |
| Zema | LOST |
| Pablo Marçal | LOST |
| Clariana Barao | LOST |
| Candidate A | LOST |
| Candidate B | LOST |
| Candidate C | LOST |
| Candidate D | LOST |
| Candidate E | LOST |
| Candidate F | LOST |
| Candidate G | LOST |
| Candidate H | LOST |
| Candidate I | LOST |
| Candidate J | LOST |
| Candidate K | LOST |
| Candidate L | LOST |
| Candidate M | LOST |
| Candidate N | LOST |
| Candidate O | LOST |
| Candidate P | LOST |
| Candidate Q | LOST |
| Candidate R | LOST |
| Candidate S | LOST |
| Candidate T | LOST |
| Candidate U | LOST |
| Candidate V | LOST |
| Candidate W | LOST |
| Candidate X | LOST |
| Candidate Y | LOST |
| Candidate Z | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner" resolve?
- It resolved Flavio Bolsonaro around October 5, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 38.5% one day before close, 25.5% one week before and 9.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $6.1M across 40 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.