Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place: result and scorecard
Resolved Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 39.1%; a week before, 24.3%. $10.9M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
BrazilPoliticsWorldGlobal ElectionsElections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | WON |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Renan Santos | LOST |
| Fernando Haddad | LOST |
| Ratinho Júnior | LOST |
| Ronaldo Caiado | LOST |
| Romeu Zema | LOST |
| Augusto Cury | LOST |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | LOST |
| Geraldo Alckmin | LOST |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Camilo Santana | LOST |
| Jair Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | LOST |
| Aldo Rebelo | LOST |
| Eduardo Leite | LOST |
| Tereza Cristina | LOST |
| Helder Barbalho | LOST |
| Person N | LOST |
| Person O | LOST |
| Person P | LOST |
| Person Q | LOST |
| Person R | LOST |
| Person S | LOST |
| Person T | LOST |
| Person U | LOST |
| Person V | LOST |
| Person W | LOST |
| Person X | LOST |
| Person Y | LOST |
| Person Z | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place" resolve?
- It resolved Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva around October 5, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 39.1% one day before close, 24.3% one week before and 7.3% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $10.9M across 32 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.