Alaska Senate and Governor Combo: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Dems sweep at 95.4%, ahead of Other at 50.0%. $109K traded across 5 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
PoliticselectionTom BegichUS ElectionDan Sullivan
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Dems sweep | 95.4% | -1.4 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate | 2.7% | +0.1 |
| Reps sweep | 1.1% | -0.4 |
| Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate | 0.1% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Dems sweep is the favorite at 95.4%, followed by Other at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 4, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $109K in total and $9K in the last 24 hours, with about $102K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.