Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?: result and scorecard
Resolved Kevin Warsh. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 93.3%; a week before, 93.9%. $617.3M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Parent For DerivativeJerome PowellPoliticsTrump PresidencyTrump
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | WON |
| Rick Rieder | OPEN |
| James Bullard | OPEN |
| Judy Shelton | LOST |
| Scott Bessent | LOST |
| Kevin Hassett | LOST |
| Rick Rieder | LOST |
| Christopher Waller | LOST |
| Jerome Powell | LOST |
| Michelle Bowman | LOST |
| No one nominated before 2027 | LOST |
| Bill Pulte | LOST |
| Donald Trump | LOST |
| Stephen Miran | LOST |
| Janet Yellen | LOST |
| Arthur Laffer | LOST |
| Barron Trump | LOST |
| David Zervos | LOST |
| Ron Paul | LOST |
| Philip Jefferson | LOST |
| Larry Kudlow | LOST |
| David Malpass | LOST |
| Larry Lindsey | LOST |
| Marc Sumerlin | LOST |
| Howard Lutnick | LOST |
| Lorie K. Logan | LOST |
| James Bullard | LOST |
| Individual P | LOST |
| Individual Q | LOST |
| Individual R | LOST |
| Individual S | LOST |
| Individual T | LOST |
| Individual U | LOST |
| Individual V | LOST |
| Individual W | LOST |
| Individual X | LOST |
| Individual Y | LOST |
| Individual Z | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" resolve?
- It resolved Kevin Warsh around December 31, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 93.3% one day before close, 93.9% one week before and 98.4% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $617.3M across 39 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.