Who is favored in "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

As of November 6, 2026, Democratic is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by Republican at 32.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$2.7M in total and $59K in the last 24 hours, with about $758K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Live market data

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Democratic at 67.5%, ahead of Republican at 32.5%. $2.7M traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

67.5%

Democratic · Trade →

24h move

0.0

pts · 7d +3.0

Volume

$2.7M

24h $59K · liquidity $758K

Closes

November 8, 2028

733 days left

US Election Elections Politics Global Elections Earn 3.25%

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Democratic	67.5%	0.0	+3.0	$1.4M	1.0¢
Republican	32.5%	0.0	-2.0	$1.3M	1.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

DemocraticRepublican

Market rules and resolution

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Democratic at 68% risks 68¢ to win 32¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?"?: As of November 6, 2026, Democratic is the favorite at 67.5%, followed by Republican at 32.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $2.7M in total and $59K in the last 24 hours, with about $758K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.