Which CEOs will be out before 2027?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 4.9%, ahead of Andy Jassy - Amazon at 4.8%. $722K traded across 5 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | 4.9% | 0.0 |
| Andy Jassy - Amazon | 4.8% | -0.1 |
| Sundar Pichai - Google | 4.5% | +0.8 |
| Sam Altman - OpenAI | 3.5% | -0.3 |
| Dan Clancy - Twitch | 3.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Brian Armstrong - Coinbase is the favorite at 4.9%, followed by Andy Jassy - Amazon at 4.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $722K in total and $29 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.