IPOs before 2027?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Anthropic at 70.0%, ahead of Celonis at 47.8%. $7.7M traded across 29 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BusinessBig TechIPOsFinanceRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 70.0% | -20.5 |
| Celonis | 47.8% | +39.3 |
| Perplexity | 10.5% | +4.6 |
| Discord | 5.9% | +0.3 |
| Freddie Mac | 5.9% | -0.1 |
| Ledger | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| Remote | 4.2% | 0.0 |
| Rippling | 4.0% | 0.0 |
| Applied Intuition | 3.8% | -0.1 |
| Glean | 3.4% | +0.3 |
| Mistral AI | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| Vanta | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Anysphere (Cursor) | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Revolut | 2.9% | -1.3 |
| Fannie Mae | 2.7% | 0.0 |
| Canva | 2.7% | -0.1 |
| OpenAI | 2.6% | -0.1 |
| Stripe | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| Ripple Labs | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| ByteDance | 2.4% | -0.1 |
| Waymo | 2.3% | +0.1 |
| Databricks | 2.1% | +0.1 |
| WHOOP | 1.9% | -0.3 |
| Ramp | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| Anduril | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Epic Games | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Anduril Industries | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Brex | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| Deel | 0.5% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:07 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "IPOs before 2027?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Anthropic is the favorite at 70.0%, followed by Celonis at 47.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $7.7M in total and $10K in the last 24 hours, with about $234K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.