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Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is No meeting by December 31, 2027 at 80.5%, ahead of United States at 3.5%. $215K traded across 29 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

80.5%
No meeting by December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+1.5
pts · 7d +9.0

Volume

$215K
24h $2K · liquidity $468K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

WorldputinRussiaUkrainePolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
No meeting by December 31, 202780.5% +1.5+9.0$45K1.0¢
United States3.5% -0.6-1.8$7K1.4¢
Russia2.8% +0.4-1.4$3K2.5¢
Turkey2.3% -0.3-0.4$6K2.3¢
Switzerland2.3% -0.3-1.8$4K2.3¢
Belarus1.6% 0.0-1.4$4K0.9¢
UAE1.5% +0.1-0.1$5K1.4¢
China1.4% -0.4-1.0$5K1.8¢
Hungary1.4% -0.1-1.4$4K1.7¢
Kazakhstan1.4% -0.1-1.2$4K1.9¢
Ukraine1.3% +0.1-1.0$4K0.5¢
Serbia1.3% +0.1-0.9$5K1.7¢
Other1.2% 0.0+0.1$4K1.2¢
Qatar1.1% -0.1-0.1$4K0.9¢
Austria1.1% -0.1-0.4$3K1.7¢
Finland1.1% 0.00.0$4K1.4¢
Vatican City1.1% 0.0-1.0$4K1.5¢
Italy1.1% -0.10.0$4K1.5¢
Slovakia1.1% 0.0-1.0$4K1.5¢
Egypt1.1% 0.0+0.1$3K1.5¢
Brazil1.0% -0.1+0.4$4K1.4¢
Other - Middle East/North Africa1.0% 0.0-0.4$4K1.4¢
Other - Europe0.9% 0.0+0.1$4K0.9¢
Germany0.8% -0.1-0.3$58K0.9¢
Azerbaijan0.6% -1.1-1.8$4K0.4¢
Saudi Arabia0.5% 0.0-0.4$3K0.5¢
India0.4% 0.0-0.1$4K0.3¢
Poland0.4% 0.00.0$4K0.4¢
South Africa0.3% -1.3-0.7$3K0.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:14 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-2910-1811-06
No meeting by December 31, 2027United StatesRussiaTurkey

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying No meeting by December 31, 2027 at 81% risks 81¢ to win 19¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?"?
As of November 6, 2026, No meeting by December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 80.5%, followed by United States at 3.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$215K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $468K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.