Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?: result and scorecard
Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.7%; a week before, 99.6%. $15K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | LOST |
| No | WON |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular Turkish military personnel physically enter Gaza at any point between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Turkish military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory or entering the airspace will not qualify. Turkish military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking Turkish service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?" resolve?
- It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.7% one day before close, 99.6% one week before and 98.6% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $15K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.