Resolved market scorecard
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14: result and scorecard
Resolved September 30. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 84.5%; a week before, 73.2%. $796K traded in total.
Result
September 30
resolved September 28, 2026
Price 1 day before
84.5%
Market leaned the right way
Price 7 days before
73.2%
30 days before: 80.2%
Volume
$796K
13 outcomes
TechSpaceXCultureScienceBig Tech
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| September 30 | WON |
| Super Heavy booster explodes? | WON |
| Successful splash down? | WON |
| October 31 | WON |
| September 28 | WON |
| September 29 | WON |
| Chopsticks catch Starship? | LOST |
| August 31 | LOST |
| September 15 | LOST |
| Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? | LOST |
| September 19 | LOST |
| September 26 | LOST |
| August 22 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
September 30Super Heavy booster explodes?Successful splash down?October 31
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 85% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14" resolve?
- It resolved September 30 around July 1, 2027.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 84.5% one day before close, 73.2% one week before and 80.2% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $796K across 13 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.