South Korea Annual Inflation 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 2.7% to 2.9% at 41.8%, ahead of 3.0%+ at 34.9%. $85K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
InflationEconomyMacro IndicatorsSouth KoreaCPI
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% to 2.9% | 41.8% | +4.7 |
| 3.0%+ | 34.9% | -5.3 |
| 2.4% to 2.6% | 8.1% | -0.3 |
| 1.5% to 1.7% | 2.9% | -0.1 |
| 2.1% to 2.3% | 1.8% | -0.1 |
| 1.8% to 2.0% | 0.7% | -0.4 |
| <1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01 Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "South Korea Annual Inflation 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 2.7% to 2.9% is the favorite at 41.8%, followed by 3.0%+ at 34.9%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $85K in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $24K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.